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Friday, August 14, 2009

How the NL East Rotations are Shaping Up

For this installment of Centerfield, I'd like to study the starting rotations in the NL East. I'm only looking at the 1-4 pitchers, since those would be the ones involved in the playoffs, and because of the four teams, only Philadelphia has a 5th starter with at least 7 starts. For my measuring rod I am using quality starts, where a pitcher pitches at least six innings while giving up three runs or fewer. While no statistic is a tell-all in and of itself, the quality start identifies those pitchers who consistently keep their teams close enough to win ballgames.

Even though Atlanta desperately needs more hitting, the starting rotation has to be considered the most reliable in the NL East. Note the following statistics:

Atlanta Quality Starts for Pitchers 1-4








Starts QS
Derek Lowe14 964.3%
Jair Jurrjens14 857.1%
Javier Vazquez14 964.3%
Kenshin Kawakami12 433.3%
543055.6%

Note that both Lowe and Jurrjens have had good starts shortened by rain ... and Vazquez left one game, leading, after giving up one earned run in five innings.


New York Mets QS for Pitchers 1-4








Starts QS
Santana13 969.2%
Maine11 654.5%
Pelfrey12 541.7%
Hernandez12 650.0%
482654.1%


Philadelphia Phillies QS for Pitchers 1-4








Starts QS
Hamels12 650.0%
Myers10 660.0%
Blanton12 758.3%
Moyer13 538.5%
472451.1%


Florida Marlins QS for Pitchers 1-4








StartsQS
Johnson141285.7%
Volstad14 857.1%
Nolasco11 327.3%
Miller 9 222.2%
482552.1%

Not a bad start-we have to give Frank Wren and the Braves front office credit for assembling a very durable starting rotation.

If Kawakami acclimates well to American baseball, then our 1-4 stacks up well with most teams in Major League baseball. Plus, this doesn't take Tommy Hanson and Tim Hudson in consideration. Also, note that Atlanta's 1-4 starters have started more games than each of their division rivals. This attests to the durability and reliability of those pitchers, and it preserves the bullpen for the late season charge that Atlanta hopefully will be mounting.


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